Andrea Křivánková – 12. 2. 2020
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EEA new maps show climate change forecasts in Europe
European Environment Agency published new maps that illustrate the expected impacts of climate change in Europe. Heatwaves, drought, heavy rain, and floods will affect our cities and surrounding landscape.
Extreme weather will become more frequent and intense in many regions of Europe. It will have an impact on ecosystems, human health, and well-being, including economics. Therefore, minimizing the risks of global climate change impacts requires targeted actions to adapt to them tailored to each city.
Central Europe
Drought will affect mostly southern Europe. However, drought frequency will also increase in central and western Europe.
“Climate change is projected to lead to a higher intensity of rain in most parts of Europe, which would increase the risk of flash floods. The largest increases, up to 35 %, are projected for central and eastern Europe.”
European Environment Agency
The change in heavy rain in winter and summer in the period 2071-2100 compared to the present climate (1971-2000) based on the high emissions scenario:
Source: EURO-CORDEX , Jacob et al., 2014
“Climate change is projected to increase the magnitude of flood events in many urban areas in Europe. Regulation of rivers and land cover changes in catchment areas, such as deforestation or soil sealing through construction within flood plains and retention areas, further contribute to the risk of flooding.”
European Environment Agency
Urban area potentially exposed to river flooding in 2071-2100 compared to 1961-1990:
However, according to the Climate ADAPT, the most urgent climate hazard for cities in terms of risks to human life is high temperatures due to urban heat island. It affects well-being and can be lethal for the elderly and persons in poor health.
More information at EEA